Fluxo went out in the group stage of Circuit X Curitiba #4 after two losses in one day, and their chance of a PGL Major Singapore invite is down to 2% in HLTV’s projections. Captain exit has already written off the Major.
Fluxo arrived in Curitiba as one of seven teams chasing the last three Americas places in Singapore. All three of their Group A series were played on Wednesday. They opened with a 2-1 win over Galorys, lost the winners’ match to paiN by the same score, and then lost the decider in a rematch with Galorys. Nine maps later, the team was out of the C-Tier event, which runs until Sunday.
paiN2-1FluxoCache 7-13, Dust2 13-9, Anubis 13-8| Player | K-D | +/- | ADR | KAST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 kye | 44-38 | +6 | 65.3 | 70.8% |
| zevy | 39-38 | +1 | 62.4 | 75.4% |
| exit | 36-39 | -3 | 63.2 | 69.2% |
 dav1deuS | 41-47 | -6 | 77.3 | 69.2% |
| ltz | 32-43 | -11 | 56.8 | 63.1% |
No Fluxo player finished the decider above a 1.05 rating. Galorys were led by PKL, who played for Fluxo in 2023 and 2024 and finished the series with a 1.24 rating as their in-game leader.
“Out of the Major”
exit, who joined Fluxo in January and calls the team, posted the three results on X late on Wednesday night, Brazilian time. In Pley’s translation from Portuguese, he wrote:
We are out of Circuit X and consequently out of the Major. I would like to apologise for the terrible result, I don’t even have much to say.
Coach Juve pointed to the winners’ match. On X on Thursday, he wrote that Fluxo could have closed out paiN 2-0 “in the afterplants we shouldn’t have lost on Dust2”, adding that “unfortunately we are practically out of the race and it is no longer in our hands” (translated from Portuguese).
Where the Americas race stands
The Americas have nine places in Singapore, and six are settled: FURIA, Legacy, 9z, MIBR, M80 and Liquid. In HLTV’s Major simulator, updated on Friday morning, Fluxo are 13th in the Americas order at 2%, down from 9% a week earlier. Before Curitiba, Pley’s look at the race on Monday already had Fluxo down as a long shot, at 10.7% in Udknud’s prediction.
| Team | Major chance |
|---|---|
 DENDELE | 92.1% |
 Wildcard | 70.4% |
 Imperial | 58.5% |
 NRG | 45.1% |
| paiN | 28.2% |
 BESTIA | 6.5% |
| Fluxo | 2.0% |
Imperial hold the ninth and last place. They meet paiN in the Curitiba upper bracket semi-final on , and both teams then play Gamers Club Masters VII from 29 October, the event HLTV’s simulator sees as decisive for both.
One event left
Fluxo have one tournament left before Valve’s cut-off on 2 November: FiRe Last Chance 2026 in Buenos Aires from 29 October to 1 November, a 16-team event with $75,000 in prize money. Wildcard and BESTIA are also in the field. According to HLTV’s simulator, winning the event would lift Fluxo to 22%. A finish outside the top three leaves them below 1%.
