A high-stakes Brazilian derby awaits as FURIA faces paiN Gaming in the quarter-finals of the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025. This best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 matchup marks FURIA’s return to a Major playoff after more than two years, and paiN’s first-ever appearance in a Major playoff. Both teams have impressed so far – FURIA stormed through the Swiss stage with a 6-1 record, while paiN survived elimination games and upset Virtus.pro to earn their spot. This context sets the stage for an intense and emotional clash.
Betting Tips
- Tip 1 – Match Winner: FURIA to Win
Odds: ~1.46–1.50
FURIA are favorites based on superior form and playoff experience. They’ve only lost one match at this Major and look like a title contender. - Tip 2 – Total Maps Over 2.5
Odds: ~2.00
Expect a competitive match. Each team has strong picks in the veto, making a three-map series likely. - Tip 3 – Correct Score: FURIA 2–1
Odds: ~3.25
A value pick for those seeking higher returns. paiN have shown they can take a map off top teams, but FURIA’s consistency should win them the series.
(bets may change)
Analysis
Current Form
FURIA are in excellent shape, with strong team synergy after recent roster changes and several dominant wins. Their riflers KSCERATO and yuurih are delivering high-impact performances, and YEKINDAR has been explosive as an entry fragger. FalleN brings Major-winning experience and leadership.
paiN, on the other hand, had a bumpy path to playoffs but showed resilience. Their AWPer nqz and support dgt have stepped up in key matches, and the team plays with momentum. However, they’ve also shown signs of nerves in closing maps, which could be costly in a playoff series.
Head-to-Head
FURIA leads the historical head-to-head with a dominant record, although paiN did manage a surprise win earlier in this Major during a best-of-one. The overall matchup still favors FURIA, particularly in a best-of-three format where depth and adaptation matter more.
Map Pool & Veto
- Ancient: Almost certainly banned, as both teams consistently permaban it.
- Train: Likely banned by paiN – FURIA are strong on Train, paiN are winless on it in 2025.
- Dust2: FURIA’s comfort pick; 70% win rate. paiN play it too but are weaker statistically.
- Mirage: paiN’s best map (~55% win rate), and FURIA have struggled here. Likely paiN’s pick.
- Nuke: paiN’s statistically best-performing map. FURIA are solid on Nuke too.
- Inferno/Anubis: Both teams are average here, but FURIA have a slight edge on Anubis. paiN have a poor Inferno record.
This setup makes a 2–1 result highly plausible, with each team getting a favorable map.
Player Impact
- FURIA: KSCERATO, yuurih, and YEKINDAR form a dangerous trio. FalleN’s leadership is critical in high-pressure playoff games.
- paiN: nqz has been a rising star and will need to out-AWP FalleN. dgt and dav1deuS are consistent, but the team’s depth may not match FURIA’s in a long series.
Motivation & Experience
FURIA has Major playoff experience and more composure under pressure. paiN has momentum and hunger, but may lack the mental stamina for a tight BO3 on stage. FURIA also has a favorable bracket draw and should be highly motivated to push for a Major semi-final.
Risk Assessment
- FURIA to Win – Low Risk
Strong form and consistency support this pick. A safe base for most bet slips. - Over 2.5 Maps – Medium Risk
Reasonable expectation based on veto dynamics. Requires paiN to take one map. - Correct Score 2–1 FURIA – High Risk
Requires precise outcome. Use smaller stakes for high-reward potential.
Key Takes
The Over 2.5 Maps market offers solid value at even odds, considering both teams have clear map strengths. The 2–1 correct score is riskier but attractive for bettors seeking higher payout potential. FURIA ML is short-priced, but useful in parlays or for conservative bettors.
Avoid bets on a FURIA 2-0 sweep, as paiN have proven they can steal a map. Round total bets are also volatile in the MR12 format – maps can end abruptly.
