The BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 quarterfinal between FaZe Clan and The MongolZ promises high drama and intrigue. FaZe Clan enter as internationally renowned veterans laden with Major trophies, while The MongolZ are the breakout underdogs from Asia making their first Major playoff appearance. The best-of-three CS2 showdown takes place on June 21, 2025, and is a rematch of their earlier meeting in the Swiss Stage (Stage 3) where FaZe prevailed 2-0. Despite that result, this matchup is much closer than typical seeding suggests – many analysts view it as nearly a coin flip.
Betting Suggestions
1. FaZe Clan to Win (Match Winner)
- Odds: ~1.70–1.80 across GG.Bet, Betibet, Vavada, Bet365, Coolzino, and Stake
- Justification: FaZe’s big-match experience and star power, especially with s1mple in form, make them the more reliable side in a high-pressure playoff scenario. While The MongolZ have upset potential, FaZe showed in their previous encounter that they can shut down the Mongolian team when focused.
- Risk Rating: Medium
- Note: Decent value at ~1.75 for a team with superior pedigree and playoff experience.
Sidebet (0,5U) – Over 2.5 Maps (Total Maps Over 2.5)
- Odds: ~1.90–2.00 across bookmakers
- Justification: Both teams are expected to win their own map picks. The map pool likely results in each side gaining a comfort map, increasing the likelihood of a 2-1 result. Each of their previous encounters ended 2-0, but in different directions – highlighting the potential for balance.
- Risk Rating: Medium
- Note: Good coverage if unsure who wins but anticipate a close match.
(bets may change)
| Bet | GG.Bet | Betibet | Vavada | Bet365 | Coolzino | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FaZe Clan to Win | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.74 | 1.66 | 1.69 | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Maps | 1.95 | 1.88 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.89 | 1.85 |
Analysis and Justification
Team Form
FaZe Clan have recovered from a rocky Contenders Stage to string together solid wins in Stage 3, including a strong 2-0 over The MongolZ. S1mple has slotted in with impact, and the team is showing signs of cohesion.
The MongolZ have momentum and high morale, coming off a legendary matchup against G2 and previously taking a BO3 over FaZe earlier in the year. They’ve shown they can punch above their weight, particularly on open aim maps.
Head-to-Head
- 2025 Record: 1-1
- FaZe won 2-0 at the Major; The MongolZ won 2-0 at IEM Melbourne
Map Pool & Veto Trends
- FaZe and The Mongolz are likely to ban Train
- Likely picks: The MongolZ to pick Mirage or Ancient; FaZe to pick Anubis or Dust2
- Decider possibilities: Inferno, Nuke or Anubis
- Key Insight: Map veto is expected to split favorably, increasing chance of three maps
Players to Watch
- s1mple (FaZe) – Dominant AWP showing in previous match
- frozen (FaZe) – Consistent multi-frag potential
- Senzu (The MongolZ) – High impact and momentum-based AWPer
- 910 & Techno (The MongolZ) – Swing riflers who can decide maps if they perform
Motivational and Tactical Factors
- FaZe aim to prove this lineup can win titles; their veteran core is peaking late career
- The MongolZ have already made history, but their self-belief and underdog spirit could push them further
- Arena pressure may favor FaZe who are more accustomed to crowd stages
Risk Evaluation
- FaZe ML: Medium risk – The MongolZ are live underdogs, but FaZe have structure and experience
- Over 2.5 Maps: Medium risk – Strong case based on veto balance and matchup history
Key Takes
FaZe are modest favorites, but The MongolZ are capable challengers. We recommend:
- Main Pick: FaZe to win the match (ML ~1.75)
- Sidebet (0,5U): Over 2.5 maps (~1.90)
Avoid handicaps and exact score bets unless seeking high variance plays. This match should be competitive, with both teams likely to trade maps before a decider.
